Friday, March 30, 2007

Thoughts on Ukraine...

Just a short post - please place your comments on the crisis below.

Im now unsure as to whether Yushchenko actually wants to disband Parliament. Bearing in mind the alleged bribery that took place prior to Yanukovych's appointment last summer, are we witnessing a repeat scenario? Has Yanukovych plucked up another tale of corruption to intimidate the President?

Something makes me think that Yush is quite happy to allow the Anti-Crisis Coalition to continue ruling, but is just trying to make sure that it does not get any bigger. Why? Well Our Ukraine is unlikely to beat, or even equal it's showing at the last ballot in any fresh elections. In the short term Yush needs to guarantee that Deputies such as Kinakh aren't jumping ship and damaging the party's already dented reputation. He may also be hoping that with time his party can strengthen in popularity, and all of the current governing blocs can be given enough rope to hang themselves out of the next VR.

Our Ukraine certainly seem to be getting nervous about future elections...with only around 50 mandates likely for next time around, big business hitters such as Poroshenko risk losing that crucial immunity from prosecution. The non-political financers of the party will be well aware that Our Ukraine must ditch these business links and become a professional party if it is to start picking up votes. Just how far down the list could Poroshenko fall?

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